Research prospectus
Society, in silico.
Every claim in this document is corroborated with a primary source.
The problem
Closed, aggregate, unvalidated models drive the financial decisions that affect every household. The Congressional Budget Office scores trillion-dollar bills with models no one outside can inspect. Financial institutions price risk using proprietary simulations they can’t share. Researchers publish with data they can’t replicate.
The result: society-wide miscoordination. Not because people disagree on values, but because they can’t agree on facts.
The gap
There is no open alternative for economy-wide, household-level simulation of tax and benefit policy. Existing tools are either aggregate (CBO), closed-source (proprietary), or narrowly scoped (individual calculators). No system combines validated statute encoding, synthetic microdata, and population-scale simulation in an open, queryable platform.
Our approach
Cosilico builds the shared substrate: open-source statute encodings validated against multiple external systems, synthetic populations calibrated to reality, and APIs that make the whole simulation queryable. We encode law as code — every formula traced to its statutory source — and build commercial APIs on top of the open infrastructure.
AI-assisted encoding
We use AI to accelerate statute encoding, with a multi-stage validation pipeline: syntax validation, reference checking, test-driven development against statute text, and external validation against TAXSIM, PolicyEngine, and other systems. The AI proposes, the pipeline validates.
Read the full prospectus
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